2016 CIS Outlook

$ 375.00

A comprehensive overview of the Commonwealth of Independent States (CIS) region. Learn about the outlook and main drivers of CIS (including country outlooks for key markets) as well as the scenarios and disruptors of performance in 2016.

Overview, Table of Contents & Sample Pages below


Low oil prices – forecasted to average US$ 30–35/bbl in 2016 – will weigh on growth across the CIS region.

The major energy exporters will struggle because of their over-reliance on energy revenues to support growth. Non-commodity exporters will prove more resilient; however, their growth potential will be undermined by spillover from Russia’s recession, particularly in the form of falling remittances.

As a rebound in growth is unlikely in the near future, multinational companies (MNCs) should focus on customer segmentation and product portfolio adjustments to respond to changing customer purchasing power and preferences. MNCs also need to develop scenarios should one of several key regional risks, particularly a financial crisis in China or a prolonged further decline in oil prices, materialize.

What you will learn

  • What are the main drivers shaping the outlook for the Commonwealth of Independent States
  • How will the country-level outlooks for CIS markets like Ukraine, Kazakhstan, and Tajikistan evolve
  • Which scenarios and disruptors will have the greatest impact on the region

What you will receive

  • Immediate access to the 35-page PDF report
  • Exclusive email updates covering emerging markets business topics
  • Special discounts on future report purchases


Table of Contents

  • Executive Summary3
  • Section 1: 2016 CIS Outlook & Main Drivers4
  •   FSG View on CIS Markets5
  •   The Region Within EMEA Context6
  •   Wide Divergences Exist in the Region7
  •   Driver #1: Commodity Exports8
  •   Driver #2: Russia’s Recession9
  •   Driver #3: China’s Influence10
  •   Driver #4: Public Spending Cuts11
  •   Driver #5: Currency Volatility12
  •   Driver #6: Political Instability13
  •   Recommendations for Action14
  • Section 2: Country Outlooks15
  •   Ukraine Outlook16
  •   Belarus Outlook17
  •   Moldova Outlook18
  •   Kazakhstan Outlook19
  •   Azerbaijan Outlook20
  •   Armenia Outlook21
  •   Georgia Outlook22
  •   Turkmenistan Outlook23
  •   Uzbekistan Outlook24
  •   Kyrgyzstan Outlook25
  •   Tajikistan Outlook26
  • Section 3: Scenarios & Disruptors of Performance in 201627
  •   CIS in 2016: Scenarios Overview28
  •   CIS in 2016: Disruptor Summary29
  •   Disruptor #1: Succession Crises30
  •   Disruptor #2: China Financial Market Crisis31
  •   Disruptor #3: Ukraine Political Strife32
  •   Disruptor #4: Oil Price Drop33
  •   Disruptor #5: Destabilizing Economic Crises34
  • About Frontier Strategy Group35

Sample Pages

CIS within the EMEA Context

Wide Divergences Exist in CIS Region

Destabilizing Economic Crises in CIS

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